If you’ve been following along with our PDC Home Tour Darts coverage, you know what our basic strategy is for the group stages of this first-of-its-kind event. Given the unfamiliar environment and format for this tournament– the players are at home, play is sometimes interrupted by phone calls and the matches are short — it seems unwise to back big favorites.
The slide continues.
Glen Durrant played up to his standards on Tuesday, sweeping Group 19 and posting a 99.85 average in his three matches. There was a bit of luck on his side, especially in the early stages of his match against Justin Pipe, but Durrant was clearly the best player in his group and the full-on fade blew up in my face.
It was the second consecutive day that the odds-on favorite blew away his competition and that is not good news for those of us who are banking on some volatility in this unique event.
Perhaps the stars of the sport are taking the Home Tour more earnestly now that they see that the tournament has been a relative success for the last three weeks. The games remain a bit whimsical, but the level of play has certainly gone up a few ticks over the past week.
Will the favorites continue to run hot? Or will the underdogs start to show up again on Wednesday?
PDC Home Tour Night 20 Betting Odds and Picks
Wednesday, May 6 at 2:30 p.m. ET
- No. 16 Joe Cullen (+140)
- No. 24 Jermaine Wattiemena (+175)
- No. 88 John Michael (+500)
- No. 85 Ryan Murray (+500)
- Joe Cullen (-220) v Ryan Murray (+165)
- Jermaine Wattimena (-250) v John Michael (+190)
- Ryan Murray (-139) v John Michael (+110)
- Joe Cullen (-125) v Jermaine Wattimena (-104)
- Jermaine Wattimena (-230) v Ryan Murray (+175)
- John Michael (+165) v Joe Cullen (-220)
Getting right back up on the horse after getting your bread buttered three days in a row isn’t all that much fun but at least this group seems a little more up in the air than what we’ve seen the past two days.
Joe “The Rockstar” Cullen checks in as the favorite on Day 20 but I don’t think he’s in the same class as Durrant or Bunting. Cullen’s ceiling may be right up there with the best players in the game, but he struggles a bit with consistency and his 92.94 average this season is actually third best in Group 20, behind both Jermaine “Machine Gun” Wattimena and Ryan “Top Gun” Murray.
Wattimena has been playing the best darts of this group in 2020 and you could make the argument that it should be the Dutchman atop the odds instead of Cullen. “Machine Gun” has steadily climbed the rankings over the past year and seemed destined for a big year before play was halted. I don’t think form is all that important in this event, the players have all been off for quite some time, but Wattimena is the “form player” on Wednesday.
The numbers, odds and world rankings make this out to be a two-horse race but I’ll continue to seek out punishment by trying to beat Cullen and Wattimena with Murray and our favorite darting Cypriot, John Michael (real name Yannis Michail), on Wednesday.
Neither Murray nor Michael have tasted the same type of success that Cullen and Wattimena have over the past few years but both of them have it in their locker to get hot and steal a 9-leg darts match from superior players.
Murray, who won his tour card this year, has the second-best scoring average of this group, edging Cullen’s mark by one-tenth of a point. Michael, who works as a farrier in Athens, runs things on the Greek Darts Circuit and even though he’s struggled against the better playres on the PDC Tour, this format should give him the opportunity to nick a win or two against one of Group 20’s big guns.
PDC Home Tour Night 20 Betting Picks
- Ryan Murray (+165) over Joe Cullen
- John Michael (+190) over Jermaine Wattimena
- Ryan Murray (+175) over Jermaine Wattimena
- John Michael (+165) over Joe Cullen
PDC Home Tour Betting Record: 20-45, -8.45 units
PDC Home Tour Group Winners
- Group 1: Jamie Lewis (+600)
- Group 2: Luke Woodhouse (+600)
- Group 3: Dave Chisnall (-134)
- Group 4: Geert Nentjes (+250)
- Group 5: Nick Kenny (+450)
- Group 6: Ryan Searle (+180)
- Group 7: Jelle Klaasen (+200)
- Group 8: Jonny Clayton (+130)
- Group 9: Martijn Kleermaker (+350)
- Group 10: Nathan Aspinall (-177)
- Group 11: Mike van Duivenbode (+300)
- Group 12: Max Hopp (+175)
- Group 13: Carl Wilkinson (+450)
- Group 14: Chris Dobey (-118)
- Group 15: Darren Webster (+175)
- Group 16: Jeff Smith (+225)
- Group 17: Damon Heta (+163)
- Group 18: Stephen Bunting (+100)
- Group 19: Glen Durrant (-121)
PDC Home Tour Darts Tournament Rules and Format
- If you’re unfamiliar with the rules of darts, click here.
- The tournament will feature 32 groups of four players who will play a round robin to determine a group winner.
- One group plays per day, for 32 days in a row. Yes, 32 days in a row.
- All group-stage matches are best-of-9 legs and two points will be awarded for a win. If there is a tie at the top of standings, the first tiebreaker will be leg difference.
- After the 32-day group stage, the winners will advance to the second phase of the competition. I’m assuming that means a single-elimination, bracket-style tournament. But, the PDC website didn’t go any further than that.
- The action will begin at 2:30 p.m. ET (7:30 p.m. local time) each night and stream on PDC.tv, free of charge.
- The first 20 groups have been announced, along with the order of play, though the PDC has yet to confirm the remaining competitors.